Saturday, October 12, 2013

Incois, Hyderabad's Final Updated Forecast for Cyclone Phailan. Odisha, Andhra, Tamil Nadu and West Bengal





(TimesofIndia) Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services (Incois), Hyderabad, under the ministry of earth sciences, government of India has issued a fresh high wind-wave alert for various status in connection with Cyclone Phailin.

Odisha: Forecast valid up to 1730 hrs on 13-10-2013

It is forecasted that the wave conditions off Odisha coast will be rough (2.5 - 4.0m) to very rough (4.0m) and become gradually much higher on 12th October 2013. The wave height is forecasted to be maximum (nearly 8.5 m) between Chhatrapur (Ganjam District) and Saharabedi (Jagatsingpur District) during 1400 hrs of 12 October, 2013. The swell wave heights vary in the range of 3.0 to 7.0m. The current speeds vary between 100-130 cm/sec.

Under the influence of this system, rainfall at most places is forecasted with heavy to very heavy falls with isolated extremely heavy falls (= 25cm) would occur over coastal Odisha commencing from 11th October 2013 night and continue to 12th night.

Squally winds with speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph would prevail along and off Odisha coast during next 12 hrs. It would increase in intensity thereafter with gale wind speed reaching 210-220 kmph at the time of landfall.

Storm surge with height of around 3.0 m above astronomical tide would inundate low lying areas of Ganjam, Khurda, Puri and Jagatsinghpur districts of Odisha during landfall.

Fishermen out at sea along Odisha coast are advised to return to coast.

Fishermen are advised not to venture into sea during the next 48 hours.

Andhra Pradesh: Forecast valid up to 1730 hrs on 13-10-2013

It is forecasted that the wave conditions in the sea off north Andhra Pradesh will be rough (2.5 m to 4.0 m) to very rough ( 4.0 m) and will become gradually much higher on 12th October 2013. The wave height is forecasted to be maximum nearly 7.0 m between Baruva (Srikakulam District) and Ichchapuram (Srikakulam District) during 1130 hrs of 12 October, 2013. The swell wave heights vary in the range of 3.0 to 6.0m. The current speeds vary between 100-130 cm/sec.

Rainfall at most places with isolated heavy to very heavy falls would also occur over north coastal Andhra Pradesh commencing from 11th Oct. night.

Squally winds with speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph would prevail along and off north Andhra Pradesh coast during next 12 hrs. It would increase in intensity thereafter with gale wind speed reaching 210-220 kmph at the time of landfall.

Storm surge with height of around 3.0 m above astronomical tide would inundate low lying areas of Srikakulam district of Andhra Pradesh during landfall.

Fishermen out at sea along north Andhra Pradesh coast are advised to return to coast. Fishermen are advised not to venture into sea during the next 48 hours.

Tamil Nadu: High wind waves in the range of 2.5 - 4 meters are predicted up to 17:30 hrs on 12-10-2013 along the Kolacahl to Kilakarai of southern Tamil Nadu.

West Bengal: Forecast valid up to 1730 hrs on 13-10-2013

It is forecasted that the wave conditions will be rough (2.5 m - 4.0m) to very rough ( 4.0 m) off West Bengal coast during the above period. The wave height is forecast to be maximum (nearly 5.5 m) between Digha (East Midnapore District) and Fraserganj (South 24 Parganas District) during 0530 hrs of 12 October, 2013. The swell wave heights vary in the range of 3.0 to 5.0m. The current speeds vary between 100 and 130 cm/sec.

Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall would occur over coastal areas of West Bengal commencing from 12th Oct. night.

Fishermen out at sea along West Bengal coast are advised to return to coast. Fishermen are advised not to venture into sea during the next 48 hours.

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